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Trump's 2025 Tariff Surge: A New Era of Protectionism

Trump's aggressive tariff policy reshapes global trade. Will it boost domestic manufacturing or spark a global trade war?

On the right at the top corner there is coin on an object and there are texts written on the...
On the right at the top corner there is coin on an object and there are texts written on the object.

Trump's 2025 Tariff Surge: A New Era of Protectionism

In 2025, President Donald Trump significantly increased tariffs on imported goods to the USA, aiming to boost domestic manufacturing and reduce the country's persistent trade deficit. The average applied tariff rate surged from 2.5% to an estimated 22.5% within just four months.

Trump's tariff policy targeted several countries with varying rates. The European Union, Norway, Iceland, Israel, South Korea, and Japan faced a 15% tariff, while the United Kingdom and Brazil saw a 10% increase. Switzerland and Taiwan were hit with 39% and 20% tariffs respectively. Malaysia and India initially faced 19% and 25% tariffs, but India's tariffs later doubled to 50%. South Africa's tariffs reached 30%, and Canada's tariffs rose to 35%.

Trump claimed these measures would promote domestic manufacturing and protect national security. However, economists argue that the net impact on trade balances is ambiguous due to offsetting factors. While tariffs can reduce imports and increase exports, they also raise production costs and may lead to retaliation from other countries. The US has run trade deficits since the mid-1970s, reflecting strong economic growth and increased global savings. By September 2025, the estimated average applied US tariff rate was 17.4%.

Trump's tariff policy, with its patchwork of rates and ongoing negotiations, aims to reduce the US trade deficit. However, the long-term effects on the economy remain uncertain, with potential impacts on both domestic manufacturing and international relations. The ultimate success of this policy will depend on how these complex factors play out in the coming years.

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